How America’s $1.5 Trillion Lithium Discovery Could Shift the Global Power Balance Amid China Tensions and Tesla Turmoil

A groundbreaking lithium discovery in the U.S. Northwest—estimated to be worth an astonishing $1.5 trillion—could significantly reshape the American economy and global energy landscape.

Nestled within the McDermitt Caldera, a 45-by-35-kilometer crater straddling southeastern Oregon and northern Nevada, this deposit may contain up to 40 million metric tons of lithium. Formed 16.4 million years ago by a massive volcanic eruption, it’s now believed to be the largest known lithium reserve in the world.

Often referred to as “white gold,” lithium is a cornerstone of the modern energy transition—essential for electric vehicle (EV) batteries, large-scale energy storage, and countless consumer electronics.

With U.S.–China tariff tensions temporarily paused until August 12, this domestic lithium supply could drastically reduce American dependence on foreign sources—particularly China—bolstering national security and revitalizing U.S. manufacturing.

The implications are enormous. As global demand for EV batteries continues to surge, this discovery could ignite a boom for the American clean energy sector. Automakers—especially Tesla—stand to benefit, with CEO Elon Musk potentially seeing significant upside if domestic lithium production lowers costs and stabilizes supply chains.

Let’s break down what this means for America’s economic future, national security, and the EV revolution.

Lithium mining (Carla Gottgens/Bloomberg)

Lithium mining (Carla Gottgens/Bloomberg)

Electric vehicle batteries

Lithium is a critical component in lithium-ion batteries, which power electric vehicles – so could be great news for Tesla CEO Musk.

Tesla might have reported a 20 percent dip in automotive revenue in their Q1 results, but let’s be real, this isn’t enough to deter Musk.

Just as well – demand for electric cars – and, in turn, lithium batteries – are continuing to soar.

According to the IEA, in 2024 ‘electric car sales rose by 25 percent to 17 million, annual battery demand surpassed 1 terawatt-hour (TWh) – a historic milestone’.

Tesla could end up benefiting from the discovery (Smith Collection/Gado/Getty Images)

Tesla could end up benefiting from the discovery (Smith Collection/Gado/Getty Images)

Currently, China is the world leader of lithium ion battery production, with more than 80 percent of the world’s lithium-ion batteries made in the country, as per Inside EVs.

This huge lithium deposit could help position the US among the very top producers, toppling China, taking a large chunk of their market share – and ultimately raking in way more money.

Grid energy storage

Elsewhere, renewable energy sources like solar and wind rely on large-scale battery storage to stabilize its supply.

Lithium-ion batteries are already used in grid storage systems to keep excess energy and release it when demand spikes.

The lithium mine may play a key role in powering America’s clean energy (Da-Kuk/Getty Images)

The lithium mine may play a key role in powering America’s clean energy (Da-Kuk/Getty Images)

So, the more lithium there is, the more batteries there will be and the more reliable the US’ renewable energy infrastructure is.

It also reduces the US’ reliance on other countries – such as Canada – for lithium for power, a key priority for US energy independence.

Consumer electronics

On a smaller scale than EVs and powering the nation, lithium is also essential in our everyday technology – think phones, laptops, tablets and power tools.

Much like with the EV batteries, a larger domestic supply chain of lithium from McDermitt could reduce dependence on foreign lithium sources – like Australia, Chile and China – increasing the US’ supply chain security.

This would play in the US’ favor particularly well when it comes to negotiating tariffs with countries like China in the future, if they can rely on US-sourced products rather than outsourcing from China. That has the potential to majorly disrupt the supply chain.

Our phones could soon be made with US-sourced lithium ion (Getty Stock Image)

Our phones could soon be made with US-sourced lithium ion (Getty Stock Image)

Environmental concerns

Despite the lithium mine forecast to be lucrative, it does bring about some environmental concerns. The Oregon Chapter of the Sierra Club has stated that it does not want drilling for the material to harm the fragile habitats in the area, although they do support cleaner energy – which, compared to fossil fuels, lithium very much is.

While others believe it would disrupt water sources for communities in the area, Malheur County is hopeful that it could serve as a boom to local economy, with much-needed jobs.

Developing the huge McDermitt site could bring significant investment and employment to the region.

Yet mining such quantity of lithium could have a devastating impact on the local wildlife – where sage-grouse, a species of bird whose population numbers have greatly decreased over the years, currently inhabit.

However, if mining was to go ahead on the Oregon-side of the caldera, it would enrage the indigenous tribes living in the area, with tribal leaders in nearby locations having already contested the plans, stating that they hold sacred ceremonies on the land.